Chytré peníze vs retail

Kdo teď do trhu přitéká a kdo utíká? Tři nezávislé pohledy: oficiální data CFTC o pozicích ve futures na S&P 500, expozice aktivních správců (NAAIM) a apetit retailu měřený objemem pákových ETF. Žádný z nich není neomylný – nejcennější informace vzniká, když se rozejdou.

Pozicování ve futures na S&P 500 (čisté pozice, % open interestu) CFTC Traders in Financial Futures, týdně. Instituce bývají trvale long, hedge fondy short (hedging) – hodnotu má změna trendu, ne absolutní číslo. Malí obchodníci = nejbližší oficiální proxy retailu.
Zobrazit data v tabulce
DatumInstituce (asset manažeři)Hedge fondy (leveraged funds)Malí obchodníci (retail)
2024-01-02 42.99-17.553.91
2024-01-09 42.01-14.154.6
2024-01-16 41.83-13.473.01
2024-01-23 40.16-17.293.45
2024-01-30 41.99-18.63.63
2024-02-06 39.87-17.893.1
2024-02-13 40.1-16.222.7
2024-02-20 40.69-17.963.24
2024-02-27 40.11-18.523.54
2024-03-05 38.62-17.113.52
2024-03-12 34.12-18.443.66
2024-03-19 45.2-20.664.01
2024-03-26 45.13-21.634.49
2024-04-02 44.72-17.644.73
2024-04-09 45.16-16.35.01
2024-04-16 41.09-9.575.34
2024-04-23 40.7-9.985.91
2024-04-30 41.11-9.765.36
2024-05-07 42.47-12.815.16
2024-05-14 44.17-14.054.72
2024-05-21 43.91-15.555.34
2024-05-28 44.71-15.584.96
2024-06-04 44.18-15.995.19
2024-06-11 42.86-16.225.4
2024-06-18 37.27-14.314.01
2024-06-25 49.28-14.615.63
2024-07-02 46.55-13.565.39
2024-07-09 47.72-15.884.79
2024-07-16 47.95-16.854.91
2024-07-23 48.61-13.435.31
2024-07-30 46.27-11.945.45
2024-08-06 43.84-10.354.18
2024-08-13 46.68-13.63.49
2024-08-20 47.17-17.124.35
2024-08-27 46.78-16.145.29
2024-09-03 46.91-12.694.58
2024-09-10 45.55-11.663.46
2024-09-17 39.48-13.623.3
2024-09-24 52.19-15.614.68
2024-10-01 50.51-14.414.18
2024-10-08 49.02-15.324.38
2024-10-15 48.4-14.454.63
2024-10-22 48.85-13.554.35
2024-10-29 48.32-13.345.3
2024-11-05 46.48-8.855.6
2024-11-12 48.35-12.276.09
2024-11-19 47.87-11.136.55
2024-11-26 48.52-13.426.75
2024-12-03 48.1-15.776.52
2024-12-10 46.87-12.766.46
2024-12-17 40.1-9.876.1
2024-12-24 49.97-15.926.1
2024-12-31 47.8-15.776.75
2025-01-07 47.93-16.365.77
2025-01-14 45.28-14.555.68
2025-01-21 45.8-19.046.69
2025-01-28 47.44-19.516.66
2025-02-04 44.72-15.666.19
2025-02-11 44.58-17.076.24
2025-02-18 44.85-16.776.22
2025-02-25 43.31-15.86.61
2025-03-04 41.79-13.26.2
2025-03-11 37.1-8.486.02
2025-03-18 32.49-7.364.82
2025-03-25 44.13-11.314.2
2025-04-01 41.93-12.373.56
2025-04-08 34.86-11.451.66
2025-04-15 37.18-10.611.33
2025-04-22 36.8-11.41.79
2025-04-29 38.86-11.711.92
2025-05-06 38.25-12.071.7
2025-05-13 40.27-13.582.85
2025-05-20 41.32-14.132.15
2025-05-27 40.53-12.242.2
2025-06-03 38.31-13.472.84
2025-06-10 37.15-14.133.1
2025-06-17 34.56-13.262.36
2025-06-24 44.6-14.543.51
2025-07-01 44.51-16.234.44
2025-07-08 45.47-18.314.11
2025-07-15 44.75-17.813.66
2025-07-22 44.46-17.83.67
2025-07-29 44.93-18.824.19
2025-08-05 44.46-17.033.98
2025-08-12 45.04-19.653.73
2025-08-19 44.09-18.53.68
2025-08-26 43.17-20.843.97
2025-09-02 43.09-19.143.61
2025-09-09 43.6-20.474.07
2025-09-16 36.8-19.53.74
2025-09-23 46.83-23.124.3
2025-09-30 48.18-22.54.49
2025-10-07 48.63-23.584.95
2025-10-14 47.79-21.594.81
2025-10-21 47.95-23.434.98
2025-10-28 46.99-23.255.09
2025-11-04 46.04-20.725.02
2025-11-10 45.6-21.355.3
2025-11-18 44.77-17.624.78
2025-11-25 43.71-18.496.08
2025-12-02 45.33-21.366.16
2025-12-09 44.86-21.025.91
2025-12-16 39.31-15.785.32
2025-12-23 49.03-19.426.93
2025-12-30 48.64-18.946.42
2026-01-06 49.41-21.387.01
2026-01-13 48.78-23.367.26
2026-01-20 46.31-21.496.42
2026-01-27 48.04-22.56.74
2026-02-03 48.39-23.246.31
2026-02-10 47.79-21.96.1
2026-02-17 49.69-23.616.56
2026-02-24 50.23-23.576.05
2026-03-03 48.76-19.724.68
2026-03-10 45.02-17.533.88
2026-03-17 38.05-14.614.03
2026-03-24 46.74-18.314.48
2026-03-31 47.01-11.983.87
2026-04-07 48.75-12.673.28
2026-04-14 51.2-21.463.58
2026-04-21 51.69-214.67
2026-04-28 50.76-20.794.72
2026-05-05 50.81-20.424.4
2026-05-12 51.3-21.034.67
2026-05-19 48.61-19.414.92
2026-05-26 47.94-21.875.3
2026-06-02 45.68-23.35.15
2026-06-09 44.67-20.55.22
2026-06-16 38.14-19.985.19
2026-06-23 50.13-18.866.19
2026-06-30 49.62-18.326.37
2026-07-07 49.28-18.375.55
2026-07-14 48.44-18.86.77
2026-07-21 47.91-16.656.38
2026-07-28 47.61-14.995.7
2026-08-04 44.28-15.595.28
2026-08-11 44.75-13.236.19
2026-08-18 46.35-13.585.99
2026-08-25 46.6-15.416.46
Apetit retailu: podíl pákových ETF na objemu Dolarový objem TQQQ + SQQQ + SPXL + SPXS vůči SPY + QQQ, týdně. Pákové ETF obchoduje převážně retail – růst podílu = rostoucí spekulativní apetit.
Zobrazit data v tabulce
DatumObjem pákových ETF vs SPY+QQQ (%)
2024-01-01 10.7
2024-01-08 13.2
2024-01-15 11.8
2024-01-22 13
2024-01-29 11.8
2024-02-05 12.7
2024-02-12 11.9
2024-02-19 13.3
2024-02-26 12.2
2024-03-04 15
2024-03-11 11
2024-03-18 11.2
2024-03-25 8.7
2024-04-01 10.9
2024-04-08 12.4
2024-04-15 13.1
2024-04-22 13.1
2024-04-29 12.4
2024-05-06 11.7
2024-05-13 11
2024-05-20 12.4
2024-05-27 11.4
2024-06-03 14.8
2024-06-10 14.1
2024-06-17 10.3
2024-06-24 12.8
2024-07-01 13.5
2024-07-08 13.8
2024-07-15 14
2024-07-22 14.4
2024-07-29 16.1
2024-08-05 14
2024-08-12 12.9
2024-08-19 14.9
2024-08-26 13.6
2024-09-02 14.4
2024-09-09 13.8
2024-09-16 12.2
2024-09-23 12.2
2024-09-30 13
2024-10-07 12.3
2024-10-14 12.6
2024-10-21 13.8
2024-10-28 13.5
2024-11-04 13.3
2024-11-11 12.6
2024-11-18 14.8
2024-11-25 12.4
2024-12-02 14.7
2024-12-09 14.7
2024-12-16 10.5
2024-12-23 12.2
2024-12-30 16.2
2025-01-06 14.8
2025-01-13 14.1
2025-01-20 13.4
2025-01-27 15.6
2025-02-03 16.4
2025-02-10 17.1
2025-02-17 13.8
2025-02-24 16.3
2025-03-03 17.6
2025-03-10 18.4
2025-03-17 17
2025-03-24 17.8
2025-03-31 17.3
2025-04-07 16.7
2025-04-14 19
2025-04-21 18.7
2025-04-28 19.7
2025-05-05 20.4
2025-05-12 13.8
2025-05-19 14.4
2025-05-26 13.4
2025-06-02 13
2025-06-09 13.1
2025-06-16 10.8
2025-06-23 10.9
2025-06-30 10.1
2025-07-07 11.6
2025-07-14 10.6
2025-07-21 10
2025-07-28 11.3
2025-08-04 12.8
2025-08-11 11.6
2025-08-18 11.2
2025-08-25 10.1
2025-09-01 11.2
2025-09-08 9.5
2025-09-15 8.7
2025-09-22 9.3
2025-09-29 9.6
2025-10-06 10.2
2025-10-13 10.5
2025-10-20 10.1
2025-10-27 10.4
2025-11-03 11.8
2025-11-10 12.9
2025-11-17 12.4
2025-11-24 10.2
2025-12-01 9.8
2025-12-08 10.3
2025-12-15 8.7
2025-12-22 6.8
2025-12-29 7.7
2026-01-05 9
2026-01-12 9.1
2026-01-19 10
2026-01-26 10.4
2026-02-02 10.6
2026-02-09 10
2026-02-16 11.2
2026-02-23 9.4
2026-03-02 11.6
2026-03-09 12.2
2026-03-16 9.9
2026-03-23 10.4
2026-03-30 11.1
2026-04-06 13.5
2026-04-13 12.6
2026-04-20 15
2026-04-27 14.1
2026-05-04 13.6
2026-05-11 13.4
2026-05-18 15.3
2026-05-25 13.9
2026-06-01 12.1
2026-06-08 14.2
2026-06-15 9.5
2026-06-22 11.8
2026-06-29 11.7
2026-07-06 12.5
2026-07-13 12.2
2026-07-20 11.2
2026-07-27 11
2026-08-03 12.6
2026-08-10 11.3
2026-08-17 10.3
2026-08-24 12.2
2026-08-31 13.3

O čem mluví Reddit

Nejzmiňovanější tickery napříč investičními subreddity (WallStreetBets, r/stocks…) za posledních 24 hodin. Zdroj: ApeWisdom. Změna t/t srovnává s minulou týdenní aktualizací (31. 8. 2026). Vysoké zmínky nejsou doporučení – spíš teploměr toho, kam se dívá dav.

#TickerNázevZmínky/24 hZměna t/tSentimentUpvoty
1 SPY SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust 220 +2,8 % ▼ medvědí 606
2 TSLA Tesla 139 +8,6 % ▲ býčí 264
3 MU Micron Technology 109 +0,9 % ▼ medvědí 337
4 NVDA NVIDIA 78 +2,6 % ▼ medvědí 426
5 QQQ Invesco QQQ ETF 62 +3,3 % ▼ medvědí 92
6 GOOGL Alphabet (Google) 55 +5,8 % ▼ medvědí 160
7 SNDK Sandisk 51 +2,0 % ▲ býčí 113
8 DTE DTE Energy 48 +2,1 % 116
9 META Meta Platforms (Facebook) 47 +2,2 % ▲ býčí 176
10 AMZN Amazon 44 +25,7 % ▼ medvědí 82